CS360 Composite Rankings – 2013 D-I college women's soccer

CollegeSoccer360    DI Women's Soccer  Composite National Rankings #2
(Aug. 28, 2013)

Rank. Team (Pts) ... prev.

1. No. Carolina (99.64) … 1
2. Stanford (97.07) … 2

3. UCLA (96.37) … 3
4. Florida State (95.56) … 4
5. Virginia (95.29) … 6
6. Notre Dame (92.50) … 8
7. Penn State (92.21) … 5
8. Wake Forest (91.26) … 12
9. Duke (90.42) … 7
10. BYU (88.80) … 10
11. Florida (87.48) … 11
12. Texas A&M (84.00) … 9
13. Baylor (79.08) … 17
14. Maryland (78.45) … 16
15. Michigan (77.34) … 18
16. Portland (76.49) … 20
17. Santa Clara (76.15) … 15
18. California (75.04) … 19
19. W. Virginia (73.77) … 29
20. Marquette (73.61) … 13
21. UCF (73.01) … 25
22. Georgetown (72.30) … 21
23. Denver (70.97) … 23
24. USC (69.28) … 37
25. Boston Coll. (67.41) … 24
26. S. Carolina (62.58) … –
27. Texas Tech (59.61) … 31
28. San Diego St (57.42) … 14
29. Va. Tech (57.34) … 28
30. Ohio State (53.91) … 26
31. Illinois (53.72) … 22
32. LSU (53.45) … 30
33. Wash. St. (52.62) … 44
34. Tennessee (50.75) … 27
35. Kentucky (50.19) … 39
36. Wisconsin (50.13) … 41
37. Arizona St. (49.70) … 38
38. Okla. St. (47.39) … 36
39. Missouri (47.30) … 32
40. Miami (46.98) … 35
41. Arkansas (46.18) … –
42. Pepperdine (46.00) … 34
43. Ole Miss (45.87) … 48
44. Oregon St. (45.13) … 45
45. Auburn (45.12) … 33
46. Minnesota (44.37) … 40
47. Washington (43.92) … 46
48. Texas (43.18) … –
49. Memphis (42.97) … –
50. Miami OH (42.22) … 47
50. S.F. Austin (42.22) … –

Fell out of CNR top-50:
42. Harvard
43. Long Beach State
49. San Diego
50. CS Northridge

CLICK HERE for D-I men's soccer CNR (2013 preseason) 

CNR ARCHIVE (D-I women): 2012  |  2011  |  2010  |  2008-09 

** see left sidebar for CS360's current CNR top-50 ** 

CNR #2 (8/28/13) – The top four teams in CollegeSoccer360's exclusive Composite National Rankings (CNR) remain unchanged (UNC, Stanford, UCLA and Florida State) while Virginia has climbed from #6 to the fifth position, after opening its season with home wins over VCU and Santa Clara. Notre Dame (victorious over Illinois and Northwestern) also climbed within the CNR top-10, moving from 8th to 6th, while Wake Forest (12th to 8th) is the lone newcomer to the CNR top-10, following week-1 wins over Kentucky and Alabama.

Two teams – Penn State (#5 to #7) and Duke (#7 to #9) – each slipped two spots within the CNR top-10, while Texas A&M dropped out of the top-10 (#9 to #12). PSU played to an opening-day tie vs. visiting West Virginia and Duke had a quality opening-day win at A&M … but the Blue Devils ambitious week-1 scheduling caught up to them two days later, in a 1-0 loss at South Carolina (which was not in the CNR preseason top-50 but now checks in at 26th).

In addition to South Carolina, four other teams have entered the CNR top-50: (41) Arkansas, (48) Texas, (49) Memphis and (co-50) Stephen F. Austin – replacing Harvard, Long Beach State, San Diego and Cal State Northridge. USC's pair of quality opening-week wins (4-1 vs. San Diego State and 4-2 vs. the Univ. of San Diego, both at USD) vaulted the Women of Troy from 37th to 24th, this week's biggest jump within the CNR top-50.

Here are links to the 10 elements – eight core factors and two small bonuses – that were used for the current CNR formula:

• NSCAA coaches poll  (NSCAA; 39 teams)
• 
Soccer Times coaches poll  (ST; 37 teams)
• 
Soccer America rankings  (SA; top-25)
• 
TopDrawerSoccer.com rankings (TDS; top-25)
• 
Our Game Magazine rankings (OG; 31 teams)
ESPNW power rankings (preseason top-15)
• 
Massey Strength Rankings (MAS; preseason projected top-60 teams)
• 
BennettRank computerized listing (BEN; top-60 teams)
plus small bonuses for:
• Projected Strength of Schedule (unofficial, per NC-Soccer.com; top-60 teams)
• Predicted finish in preseason conference polls … 
ACC  |  Pac-12  |  Big Ten
SEC  |  B12  |  Mt. West  |  Big East  |  WCC  |  Summit  |  AAC  |  Big West  |  MAC  

There currently are 14 schools that feature their women's soccer team in College Soccer 360's CNR top-50 and their men's team in that CNR top-40 (there are fewer D-I men's teams and a smaller field, 48, in the NCAAS – compared to 64 for the women's NCAAs):

• North Carolina – #1 women, #3 men 
• UCLA – #3 women, #6 men
• Notre Dame – #6 women, #10 men
• Wake Forest – #8 women, #12 men
• Maryland – #14 women, #1 men
• Virginia – #5 women, #15 men
• Marquette – #20 women, #9 men
• Georgetown – #22 women, #5 men
• Stanford – #2 women, #27 men
• Duke – #9 women, #33 men
• Michigan –  #15 women, #35 men
• Boston College – #25 women, #37 men
• Kentucky – #35 women, #39 men
• Washington – #47 women, #21 men

As a reminder, the CS360 Composite National Rankings are more than a simple average of polls/rankings/computerized lists (see full description at bottom of page), as in some cases both the team rankings and the voting points within a certain poll are factored into the formula – meaning that teams receiving nearly the same voting points receive similar credit in the CNR formula (even though their actual ranking in that specific poll is different) while in other cases there may be two teams separated by only one ranking spot in a poll but their actual voting points are beyond the standard deviation. Again, these factors are reflected in the CNR formula to give a more accurate depiction of each team relative to the others.

For the current CNR, the eight core elements are averaged (on an initial max. scale of 60) and the final 100-point scale is completed by adding 38 and then including two bonus factors (max. 1.0 each) based on projected strength of schedule and predicted conference finish (which could lead to an automatic bid in the NCAAs). 

The current CNR top-10 includes six teams from the Atlantic Coast Conference (UNC, FSU, UVa, ND, Wake & Duke) and two Pac-12 (Stanford & UCLA), along with Penn State from the Big Ten nd BYU out of the WCC. The CNR top-50 now features 10 teams from both the ACC and SEC.

Newcomers to the CNR Top-50(26) South Carolina … (41) Arkansas 
… (48) Texas … (49) Memphis … (50) Stephen F. Austin
Biggest Improvements Within the CNR Top-50 – USC (#37 to #24) … 
Washington State (#44 to #33) … West Virginia (#29 to #19)
Dropped Out of the CNR Top-50 – (42) Harvard … (43) Long Beach State …
(49) San Diego … (50) Cal State Northridge
Biggest Drops Within the CNR Top-50 – San Diego State (#14 to #28) … 
Auburn (#33 to #45) … Illinois (#22 to #31) … Pepperdine (#34 to #42) … 
Marquette (#13 to #20) … Tennessee (#27 to #34) … Missouri (#32 to #29)

Current CNR Top-50 Breakdown by Conference:
ACC (10): 1–North Carolina, 4–Florida State, 5–Virginia, 6–Notre Dame, 8–Wake Forest, 9–Duke, 14–Maryland, 25–Boston College, 29–Virginia Tech & 40–Miami
• 
SEC (10): 11–Florida, 12–Texas A&M, 26–South Carolina, 32–LSU, 34–Tennessee, 35–Kentucky, 39–Missouri,
41–Arkansas, 43–Mississippi & 45–Auburn
Pac-12 (8): 2–Stanford, 3–UCLA, 18–Cal, 24–USC, 33–Washington State, 37–Arizona State, 44–Oregon State & 47–Washington
Big Ten (6): 7–PSU, 15–Michigan, 30–Ohio St, 31–Illinois, 36–Wis. & 46–Minn.
• WCC (4): 10–BYU, 16–Portland, 17–Santa Clara & 42–Pepperdine 
• Big 12 (4): 13–Baylor, 19–West Virginia, 27–Texas Tech & 38–OK St. & 48–Texas
BIG EAST (2): 20–MARQ, 22–Georgetown & 25–Central Florida (UCF) 
1 each: American Athletic (21–UCF), Summit (23–Denver), Mountain West (28–SDSU), Conference USA (49–Memphis), Mid-American (50–Miami OH) & Southland (50–Stephen F. Austin)

CollegeSoccer360 introduced the Composite National Rankings (CNR) in 2008 and brought this aggregate poll concept back throughout the 2009-12 seasons. Other ingredients – NCAA Tournament projections, RPI and other power rankings, and lateseason performance – will be factored into subsequent updates of the CNR.

Notes on CS360's Composite National Rankings Formula (created by Pete LaFleur):
The CNR closely resembles the composite national rankings on CS360's sister site, CollegeBaseball360.com. The CNR consists of an average of multiple polls/ratings and the CNR point totals ultimately are scaled to a convenient 100-point format.

In the raw formula, a #1-ranked team in any of the polls/ratings typically receives 60 points, the #2 team gets 59, etc. The Soccer America poll is the most basic in this regard, as it has a top-25 and no "also receiving votes" teams. When two or more teams are tied for one spot, they receive an equal share of the combined points for those spots. In the end, each team can receive a a maximum of 60 CNR points from each of the seven polls/ratings. That total then is divided by seven and then 40 typically is added to yield the score on the handy 100-point scale (at the beginning and end of seasons, the number added often is a bit less, such as 38, to allow for bonus points to be factored into the formula).

One wrinkle within the CNR formula credits teams based on voting or rating "points" in certain polls/ratings (in addition to their spots on the list; note that the NSCAA preseason poll did not include the usual voting-points information). By using this correction, teams that have virtually the same number of voting points then will receive nearly the same amount of credit in the CNR (conversely, teams that have a wider margin in votes or rating points will have a bigger gap in their credits within the CNR formula). The RPI number used in the CNR formula includes a combination of the official NCAA RPI placements (1 thru 50; counts 50% to the RPI formula for the CNR) and the unadjusted RPI on www.nc-soccer.com (contributes 50% to the RPI factor in the CNR, but these are a combination of the 1-50 placements and actual RPI calculation numbers).

For the 2013 preseason CNR formula, a small bonus was included for two factors (max. 1.0 point each): projected strength of schedule and predicted conference finish (which can lead to an automatic NCAA bid) and the formula was adjusted to add 38 (rather than 40) to the avg. of the primary factors.  

_________________________________

2013 PRESEASON CNR (8/22/13) – CollegeSoccer360's exclusive Composite National Rankings (CNR) have returned for the sixth season in 2013, with defending NCAA champion North Carolina checking in at the top spot, very near the maximum on the 100-point scale (99.59). Stanford, the 2011 champion, holds down the second position in the CNR, followed by Florida State, UCLA and Penn State … with the rest of the top-10 (6th-10th) including: Virginia, Duke, Notre Dame, Texas A&M and BYU.

Here are links to the nine elements – seven core factors and two small bonuses – that were used for the CNR 2013 preseason formula:

• NSCAA coaches poll  (NSCAA; 41 teams)
• 
Soccer Times coaches poll  (ST; 43 teams)
• 
Soccer America rankings  (SA; top-25)
• 
TopDrawerSoccer.com rankings (TDS; top-25)
• 
Our Game Magazine rankings (OG; 30 teams; scroll down/no current online listing)
• 
Massey Strength Rankings (MAS; projected top-60 teams)
• 
BennettRank computerized listing (BEN; top-31 teams)
plus small bonuses for:
• Projected Strength of Schedule (unofficial, per NC-Soccer.com; top-60 teams)
• Predicted finish in preseason conference polls … 
ACC  |  Pac-12  |  Big Ten
SEC  |  B12  |  Mt. West  |  Big East  |  WCC  |  Summit  |  AAC  |  Big West  |  MAC  

As a reminder, the CS360 Composite National Rankings are more than a simple average of polls/rankings/computerized lists (see full description at bottom of page), as in some cases both the team rankings and the voting points within a certain poll are factored into the formula – meaning that teams receiving nearly the same voting points receive similar credit in the CNR formula (even though their actual ranking in that specific poll is different) while in other cases there may be two teams separated by only one ranking spot in a poll but their actual voting points are beyond the standard deviation. Again, these factors are reflected in the CNR formula to give a more accurate depiction of each team relative to the others.

For this 2013 preseason CNR, the seven core elements are averaged (on an initial max. scale of 60) and the final 100-point scale is completed by adding 38 and then including two bonus factors (max. 1.0 each) based on projected strength of schedule and predicted conference finish (which could lead to an automatic bid in the NCAAs). 

The 2013 CNR preseason top-10 includes five teams from the Atlantic Coast Conference (UNC, FSU, UVa, Duke and ND) and two Pac-12 (Stanford & UCLA), along with Penn State from the Big Ten, the SEC's Texas A&M and BYU out of the WCC. The CNR top-50 features the following breakdown
• ACC (10): 1–UNC, 4–FSU, 6–UVa, 7–Duke, 8–ND, 12–Wake Forest, 16–Maryland, 24–Boston College, 30–Virginia Tech & 35–Miami
• Pac-12 (8): 2–Stanford, 3–UCLA, 19–Cal, 37–USC, 38–Arizona State, 
44–Washington State, 45–Oregon State & 46–Washington
• 
SEC (8): 9–A&M, 11–FL, 27–TN, 29–LSU, 32–MO, 33–AUB, 39–KY, 48–Ole Miss
• Big Ten (6): 5–PSU, 18–Michigan, 22–Illinois, 26–Ohio St., 40–Minn., 41–Wis.
• WCC (5): 10–BYU, 15–Santa Clara, 20–Portland, 34–Pepperdine, 49–USC
• Big 12 (4): 17–Baylor, 28–West Virginia, 31–Texas Tech & 36–Oklahoma State
• BIG EAST (3): 13–MARQ, 21–Georgetown & 25–Central Florida (UCF) 
• Big West (2): 43–Long Beach State & 50–Cal State Northridge
• 1 each: Mountain West (14–SDSU), Summit (23–Denver), Ivy League (42–Harvard),
Mid-American (47–Miami OH)

The final CNR of the 2012 season – released in early Nov. (prior to the NCAAs) – featured seven teams that are not in the 2013 CNR preseason top-50: (29) La Salle, (33) Princeton, (34) Stephen F. Austin, (36) Colorado College, (42) Dartmouth, (46) Louisville and (49) Central Michigan. Seven other teams – (30) LSU, (36) Oklahoma State, (37) USC, (40) Minnesota, (42) Harvard, (48) Ole Miss and (49) San Diego – were not in the final 2012 CNR top-50 (prior to the NCAAs) but now find themselves in the CNR top-50 entering 2013.

Several teams have made big jumps in the CNR, when comparing their standing in the final 2012 CNR( prior to NCAAs)  to the 2013 preseason listing: Illinois (#44 to #22), Denver (#37 to #23), Notre Dame (#20 to #8), North Carolina (#11 to #1) and Michigan (#28 to #18). On the flip side, the following teams have slipped down the CNR when looking at their previous standing (prior to 2012 NCAAs): Miami Ohio (#31 to #47), San Diego State (#3 to #14), Oho State (#15 to #25), Tennessee (#17 to #27) and Pepperdine (#24 to #34).

CollegeSoccer360 introduced the Composite National Rankings (CNR) in 2008 and brought this aggregate poll concept back throughout the 2009-12 seasons. Other ingredients – NCAA Tournament projections, RPI and other power rankings, and lateseason performance – will be factored into subsequent updates of the CNR.

In 2012, the final CNR correctly lined up with 32 of the 34 at-large teams for the 2012 NCAA tournament (all but Central Michigan and Rutgers, both of which narrowly missed the CNR's hypothetical cutoff for the NCAAs – at #47, when accounting for 17 other automatic bids that went to lower-rated teams … CMU was #49 and RU #51). The CNR incorrectly forecasted that #42 Dartmouth and #46 Louisville would be in the 2012 NCAA field.

CollegeSoccer360 – DI Women's Soccer Composite National Rankings 
(Aug. 22, 2013)
Rank. Team (Pts) ... prev.
(number on right=end '12 reg. season)

1. North Carolina (99.59) … 11
2. Stanford (96.78) … 1

3. UCLA (95.62) … 7
4. Florida State (95.53) … 6
5. Penn State (95.41) … 5
6. Virginia (94.00) … 4
7. Duke (93.20) … 14
8. Notre Dame (89.06) … 20
9. Texas A&M (87.53) … 13
10. BYU (87.38) … 2
11. Florida (86.11) … 8
12. Wake Forest (85.96) … 12
13. Marquette (84.94) … 9
14. San Diego State (84.17) … 3
15. Santa Clara (83.94) … 21
16. Maryland (82.47) … 16
17. Baylor (81.71) … 10
18. Michigan (79.36) … 28
19. California (78.25) … 18
20. Portland (78.04) … 25
21. Georgetown (73.39) … 19
22. Illinois (67.57) … 44
23. Denver (66.16) … 37
24. Boston College (66.10) … 26
25. UCF (65.12) … 23
26. Ohio State (64.88) … 15
27. Tennessee (64.89) … 17
28. Virginia Tech (64.64) … 27
29. West Virginia (63.27) … 22
30. LSU (62.00) … –
31. Texas Tech (57.36) … 30
32. Missouri (55.94) … 32
33. Auburn (55.81) … 40
34. Pepperdine (55.84) … 24
35. Miami (53.09) … 38
36. Oklahoma State (48.66) … –
37. USC (48.45) … –
38. Arizona State (47.93) … 43
39. Kentucky (47.92) … 35
40. Minnesota (47.17) … –
41. Wisconsin (46.23) … 47
42. Harvard (45.98) … –
43. Long Beach State (44.17) … 45
44. Washington State (43.25) … 41
45. Oregon State (42.96) … 48
46. Washington (42.83) … 39
47. Miami Ohio (42.62) … 31
48. Mississippi (42.37) … –
49. San Diego (41.49) … –
50. Cal State Northridge (41.41) … 50

Teams in CNR top-50 at end of 2012 regular season but not in 2013 preseason CNR:
29. La Salle 
33. Princeton 
34. Stephen F. Austin  
36. Colorado College  
42. Dartmouth  
46. Louisville 
49. Central Michigan


Our Game Magazine 2013 preseason rankings (not currently posted online)

  1. North Carolina
  2. Penn State
  3. UCLA
  4. Notre Dame
  5. Stanford
  6. Virginia
  7. Duke
  8. Florida State
  9. Texas A&M
  10. Santa Clara
  11. Michigan
  12. BYU
  13. Georgetown
  14. Marquette
  15. Wake Forest
  16. Maryland
  17. West Virginia
  18. California
  19. UCF
  20. Texas Tech
  21. Portland
  22. Tennessee
  23. San Diego State
  24. Denver
  25. Harvard

To Watch:

Ohio State
Florida
Pepperdine
Virginia Tech
LSU
Baylor

editor@collegesoccer360.com