Section 5 – CS360 NCAA Women's Soccer History Notebook (11/28/12) ...

College Soccer 360 presents …
2012 Division I Women's Soccer
NCAA Tournament History Notebook (Update #3)
(Nov. 28, 2012)  ** SECTION 5 **

By Pete LaFleur (editor@collegesoccer360.com)
note: all research contained below is courtesy of CollegeSoccer360.com 
(please credit accordingly when reprinting or referencing this data) ... 
this historical information will be updated several times throughout the 2012 NCAAs


You have two options in reviewing this extensive and exclusive historical archive:

(1) Scroll down on this page through section-5 or ...

(2) Click on these direct links (being added) to view each section as individual pages

SECTIONS 1-7 – All of the below sections, in sequential scrolling order (one large file)
SECTION 1
 – Top teams of the century and during the past four seasons (winningest senior classes) & more
SECTION 2 – Winningest teams in NCAA Tournament history, etc.
SECTION 3 – NCAA College Cup Final Weekend History & Notes (can be skipped over at present)
SECTION 4 – NCAA Tournament Quarterfinal History & Notes
SECTION 5 – NCAA Tournament Seeding History & Misc. Notes
SECTION 6 – NCAA Tournament Round-of-16 History & Notes
SECTION 7 – NCAA Tournament Qualification & Early Rounds


SECTION 5 – NCAA TOURNAMENT
SEED HISTORY & MISC. NOTES

note: all research contained below is courtesy of CollegeSoccer360.com (please credit accordingly when reprinting or referencing this data) ... this historical information will be updated several times throughout the 2012 NCAAs


LIVING UP TO EXPECTATIONS – The 2008 season marked the first time since 1997 that each of the top-4 seeds advanced to the NCAA semifinals (UNC, ND, Stanford and UCLA) ... those four teams returned to the semifinals in 2009 (three of them as top seeds: Stanford, UNC and UCLA) ... the four top seeds in 2011 also reached the semifinals (Stanford, Duke, Florida State & Wake Forest), matching their seeds, while three have advanced to the final 2012 weekend:

Top-4 seeds that have failed to reach the College Cup semifinals (1997-2012)
(38%, 24 of 64, from 1997-2012)

1997 (0) – all of the top-4 seeds advanced to semifinals

1998 (1) – Notre Dame (#4 overall seed)

1999 (2) – Florida (#3 overall seed) and Nebraska (#4)

2000 (2) – Washington (#2 overall seed) and Clemson (#3)

2001 (1) – UCLA (#3 overall seed)

2002 (3) – Stanford (#1 overall seed), Pepperdine (#3) and Connecticut (#4)

2003 (2) – Notre Dame (#2 overall seed) and Florida (#3)

2004 (3) – North Carolina (#1 overall seed), Penn State (#2) and Virginia (#3)

2005 (1) – North Carolina (one of four #1s)

2006 (2) – Texas and Santa Clara (two of four #1s)

2007 (3) – North Carolina, Penn State and Stanford (three of four #1s)

2008 (0) – all four #1 seeds advanced to semifinals

2009 (1) – Florida State (one of four #1s)

2010 (3) – Portland, Maryland and North Carolina (three of four #1s) 

2011 (0) – all of the top-4 seeds advanced to semifinals

2012 (1) – BYU (one of four #1s)

(the above list includes UNC four times, Florida three times, and three teams twice: ND, Stanford & PSU)


rp primary2 740

  Christine Sinclair (right) – one of the top players in
NCAA women's soccer history – led the Pilots
in a 2002 NCAA quarterfinal battle at #1 Stanford
(Portland advanced in PKs and went on to win the NCAA title)


KNOCKING OFF THE TOP TEAMS – Since 1997, Portland has knocked off a national top-4 seed four different times: won 2-1 at ND in 1998 quarterfinals (Irish were #4 overall seed); won 1-0 at Washington in 2000 round-of-16 (Huskies were #2 overall seed); advanced at Stanford in 2002 NCAA quarterfinals (0-0/PKs; Stanford was #1 overall seed); and won 2-0 at Texas in 2006 round-of-16 (Longhorns were one of four #1s) ... during that same span, Notre Dame has advanced past a national top-4 seed three times: advanced on PKs (0-0) at Nebraska in 1999 quarterfinals (Huskers were #4 national seed); won 3-2 at UNC in 2007 round-of-16 and again in 2010, 4-1 (UNC was one of four #1s both years); and won 2-0 at Florida State in 2009 quarterfinals (Seminoles were one of four #1s) ... Portland and ND have accounted for one-third (8-of-24) of these times when a top-4 national seed has been derailed (since '97) ... two other teams have done it twice: Michigan won 2-0 at Pepperdine in the 2002 round-of-16 and 1-0 at ND in the 2003 second round, while Florida State won 2-1 at Florida in the 2003 quarterfinals and advanced at UNC in the 2005 quarterfinals (1-1/PKs). ... the other 10 teams who have pulled these upsets (since '97) include Hartford, UCLA, Florida, Penn State, Santa Clara, Maryland, Duke, USC, West Virginia, Connecticut, Georgetown and Washington. ... Notre Dame has been at the wrong end of these upsets twice (the aforementioned losses to Portland in '98 and Michigan in '03) ... from 1997-2009, Portland never had lost/failed to advance when placed among top-4 national seeds before being knocked out in the 2010 second round (eliminated by Washington in PKs).

Teams that have upset top-4 national seeds, prior to semifinals (1997-2012)
(25 times, from 1997-2012 … avg. of 1.6 per year upset before semifinals)

1998 – Portland won at Notre Dame (#4 overall seed) in quarterfinals (2-1)

1999 – Hartford won at Florida (#3 overall seed) in second round (1-0) 

1999 – Notre Dame advanced past Nebraska (#4 overall seed) in quarterfinals (1-1/PKs)

2000 – Portland won at Washington (#2 overall seed) in round-of-16 (1-0)

2000 – UCLA won at Clemson (#3 overall seed) in quarterfinals (2-1)

2001 – Florida won at UCLA (#3 overall seed) in quarterfinals (1-0/2 OT

2002 – Portland advanced at Stanford (#1 overall seed) in quarterfinals (0-0/PKs) 

2002 – Michigan won at Pepperdine (#3 overall seed) in round-of-16 (2-0)

2002 – Penn State won at Connecticut (#4 overall seed) in quarterfinals (2-1)

2003 – Michigan won at Notre Dame (#2 overall seed) in second round (1-0) 

2003 – Florida State won at Florida (#3 seed) in quarterfinals (2-1)

2004 – Santa Clara won at North Carolina (#1 overall seed) in round-of-16 (1-0/OT) 

2004 – Maryland won at Penn State (#2 overall seed) in second round (1-0) 

2004 – Duke won at Virginia (#3 overall seed) in second round (3-0)

2005 – Florida State advanced at North Carolina (one of four #1s) in quarters (1-1/PKs)

2006 – Portland won at Texas (one of four #1s) in round-of-16 (2-0) 

2006 – USC won at Santa Clara (one of four #1s) in first round (1-0)

2007 – Notre Dame won at North Carolina (one of four #1s) in round-of-16 (3-2) 

2007 – West Virginia won at Penn State (one of four #1s) in round-of-16 (1-0) 

2007 – Connecticut won at Stanford (one of four #1s) in round-of-16 (2-0)

2009 – Notre Dame won at Florida State (one of four #1s) in quarterfinals (2-0)

2010 – Washington advanced at Portland (one of four #1s) in second round (1-1/PKs)

2010 – Georgetown advanced at Maryland (one of four #1s) in second round (1-1/PKs)

2010 – Notre Dame won at North Carolina (one of four #1s) in round-of-16 (4-1)

2012 – North Carolina won at BYU (one of four #1s) in quarterfinals (2-1, in 2 OT)


SEEDS OF DISCONTENT
 – From 2001-10, there were 32 seeded teams that were sent on the road for the first weekend of the NCAAs, including Central Florida, Texas A&M and Wake Forest in 2010 (all lost in 2nd round) – after UCF, Florida and Virginia Tech in 2009 (note that the ’01 and ’02 NCAA fields only seeded eight teams, while 16 have been seeded since '03). Of the 32 seeded teams sent on the road from 2001-10, four have been  knocked out in the first round and 10 more have failed to advance past the second round – meaning that nearly half (44%) of the seeded teams sent on the road were eliminated before the round-of-16 (14-of-32). By comparison, from 2001-10 there have been 112 seeded teams that opened the NCAAs at home and only 22% of them (25; or 1-in-5) failed to advance to the round-of-16. ... Thus, seeded teams sent on the road from 2001-10 so far have advanced to the round-of-16 at a rate of 22% lower (56% to 78%) than the seeded teams that opened at home.

Of course, several seeded teams overaome the challenge of opening on the road and gone on to post multiple wins, most notably four that went on to win the national title that season (Santa Clara in 2001, Portland in ’02 and ’05, and USC in ’07). Eight others ended up losing in the round-of-16, five saw their seasons end in the quarterfinals and one (UCLA, in ’05) suffered its final loss in the College Cup semifinals. Seeded teams that had to open on the road but went on to reach the title game are 4-0-0 in those final games.

Here's the breakdowns of how seeded first-weekend road teams fared in the NCAAs (from 2001-10):

• 4 national champions (Santa Clara ’01, Portland ’02 and ’05, USC ’07)
• 1 semifinalist (UCLA ’05)
• 5 quarterfinalists (Kansas ’03, Washington ’04, Portland ’06 and ’07, Florida State '08)
• 8 round-of-16 (Pepperdine ’02 & ’05, Cal ’05, Texas ’06, Florida ’06, Illinois ’06, USC '08, Virginia Tech '09)
• 10 second round (Duke ’03 and ’05, Oklahoma St. ’06, Wake Forest ’07, Oklahoma St. '08, Florida and UCF '09, Texas A&M, UCF and Wake Forest '10)
• 4 first round (Colorado ’03, Arizona ’04, BYU ’05, Colorado ’07)


Seeded Teams Sent on the Road for NCAA First Weekend (2001-10)
 
(#1-16 seeds from ’03-’10; #1-8 seeds for ’01-’02 ... seeds were 1-8 in 2001-02 and 1-16 in ‘03-’04, while the ‘05-’10 NCAAs featured four #1 seeds, four #2, four #3, four #4)

(Seed, Team ... site, first-weekend results ... finished)

2010 (0-of-3 advanced)
(4 seed/13-16) Central Florida ... at UCLA, lost to UCLA (2nd round)
(4 seed/13-16) Texas A&M ... at Minnesota, lost to Minnesota (2nd round)
(4 seed/13-16) Wake Forest ... at UC Irvine, lost to UCI (2nd round)

2009 (1-of-3 advanced)
(3 seed/9-12) Virginia Tech ... at Dayton, advanced ... lost at Portland (round-of-16)
(4 seed/13-16) Florida ... at Ohio State, lost to Oregon State (2nd round)
(4 seed/13-16) Central Florida ... at Wisconsin, lost to Wisconsin (2nd round)

2008 (2-of-4 advanced)
(2 seed/5-8) Florida State ... at Auburn, advanced ... lost at Notre Dame (quarters)
(4 seed/13-16) Colorado ... at Minnesota, lost to South Dakota State (1st round)
(4 seed/13-16) USC ... at BYU, advanced ... lost to UCLA (round-of-16)
(4 seed/13-16) Oklahoma St. ... at Rutgers, elim. by Rutgers (PKs; 2nd round)

2007 (2-of-3 advanced)
(2 seed/5-8) Portland ... at Denver, advanced ... lost to UCLA (quarterfinals)
(2 seed /5-8) USC ... at Missouri, advanced ... won national title
(4 seed/13-16) Wake Forest ... at Boston College, lost to Connecticut (2nd round)

2006 (4-of-5 advanced)
(1 seed/1-4) Texas ... at Connecticut, advanced ... lost to Portland (round-of-16)
(1 seed/1-4) Portland ... at Utah, advanced ... lost to UCLA (quarterfinals)
(3 seed/9-12) Florida ... at Marquette, advanced .. .lost at UCLA (round-of-16)
(3 seed/9-12) Illinois ... at St. Louis, advanced ... lost at Florida St. (round-of-16)
(4 seed/13-16) Oklahoma St. ... at Clemson, elim. by Clemson (PKs; 2nd round)

2005 (4-of-6 advanced)
(1 seed/1-4) Portland ... at Nebraska, advanced ... won national title
(2 seed/5-8) Florida State ... at Florida, advanced ... lost to UCLA (semifinals)
(3 seed/9-12) California ... at Texas, advanced ... lost at Florida St. (round-of-16)
(3 seed/9-12) Duke ... at Yale, lost to Yale (2nd round)
(4 seed/13-16) Pepperdine ... at Vanderbilt, advanced ... lost at North Carolina (rd-of-16)
(4 seed/13-16) BYU ... at Utah, elim. by Weber St. (PKs; 1st round)

2004 (1-of-2 advanced)
(13 seed) Arizona ... at Connecticut, lost to Colgate (1st round)
(15 seed) Washington ... at Auburn, advanced ... lost at Princeton (quarterfinals)

2003 (1-of-3 advanced)
(10 seed) Colorado ... at Utah, lost to BYU (1st round)
(12 seed) Duke ... at Texas A&M, lost to A&M (2nd round)
(13 seed) Kansas ... at Missouri, advanced ... lost at UCLA (quarterfinals)

2002 (2-of-2 advanced)
(3 seed) Pepperdine ... at Marquette, advanced ... lost to Michigan (round-of-16)
(8 seed) Portland ... at BYU, advanced ... won national title

2001 (advanced)
(2 seed) Santa Clara ... at Illinois, advanced ... won national title


Other Seeded Teams That Have Failed To Reach NCAA Round-of-16
(played at home first weekend from 2001-10; at home or neutral field in 2011 and 2012)

2012 (through first round)
(3 seed/9-12) – Wake Forest … second-round, eliminated by Notre Dame, 1-2 (at Florida)
(4 seed/13-16) – Ohio State … first-round, eliminated by Oakland, 1-1 (PKs)
(4 seed/13-16) – Maryland … second-round, eliminated by Denver, 2-3 (OT, at Stanford)
(4 seed/13-16) – Portland … second-round, eliminated by Michigan, 0-3 (at Penn State)

2011
(2 seed/ 5-8) – UCLA ... second-round eliminated by San Diego, 1-1 (PKs)
(2 seed/5-8) – Florida ... second-round eliminated by Central Florida, 2-3
(3 seed/9-12) – Pepperdine ... first-round eliminated by Long Beach State, 0-1 (OT)
(3 seed/9-12) – Texas A&M ... second-round eliminated by Virginia Tech , 1-3 (at Virginia)
(3 seed/9-12) – Auburn ... second-round eliminated by Maryland, 0-1 (at OK State)
(4 seed/ 13-16) – Tennessee ... first-round eliminated by Ohio State, 0-3
(4 seed/13-16) – Memphis ... second-round eliminated by Louisville, 0-2

2010
(1 seed/1-4) – Portland ... second-round eliminated by Washington, 1-1 (PKs)
(1 seed/1-4) – Maryland ... second-round eliminated by Georgetown, 1-1 (PKs)
(2 seed/5-8) – Florida ... second-round eliminated by Duke, 0-0 (PKs)

2009
(4 seed/13-16) – Penn State ... second-round loss to Virginia, 2-6
(4 seed/13-16) – LSU ... second-round eliminated by Texas A&M, 1-1 (PKs)

2008
(3 seed/9-12) – Wake Forest ... second-round loss to James Madison, 0-1
(4 seed/13-16) – Missouri ... second-round eliminated by Illinois, 1-1 (PKs)

2007
(2 seed/5-8) – Purdue ... second-round elim. by Indiana, 0-0 (PKs)
(2 seed/5-8) – Texas A&M ... second-round loss to Texas, 2-3
(3 seed/9-12) – Georgia ... second-round loss to Duke, 0-1

2006
(1 seed/1-4) – Santa Clara ... first-round loss to California, 0-1
(3 seed/9-12) – Wake Forest ... second-round loss to Virginia, 0-2
(3 seed/9-12) – Rutgers ... second-round elim.by Boston College, 0-0 (PKs)

2005
(3 seed/9-12) – Connecticut ... first-round loss to Boston Univ., 0-1

2004
(2 seed) – Penn State ... second-round loss to Maryland, 0-1
(3 seed) – Virginia ... second-round loss to Duke, 0-3
(8 seed) – Kansas ... second-round loss to Nebraska, 1-2 (OT)
(9 seed) – Texas A&M ... second-round loss to Illinois, 1-2
(10 seed) – Florida ... first-round loss to Central Florida, 2-3

2003
(2 seed) – Notre Dame ... second-round loss to Michigan, 0-1
(7 seed) – Virginia ... second-round eliminated by Villanova, 0-0 (PKs)
(15 seed) – Boston College ... first-round loss to Central Conn., 0-1
(16 seed) – Illinois ... first-round loss to William & Mary, 0-2

2002
(5 seed) – West Virginia ... second-round loss to Virginia, 0-1

2001
(7 seed) – Notre Dame ... second-round loss to Cincinnati, 2-3


Top-16 seeds that have failed to reach the NCAA round-of-16 
(since 2001; 8 teams were seeded until 2002, then 16 from 2003-12)

1-4 seeds – 6 teams, out of 48 (Notre Dame in ’03 ... Penn St. and Virginia in ’04 ... Santa Clara in ’06 ... Portland and Maryland in '10)
5-8 seeds – 9 teams, out of 48 (Notre Dame in ’01 ... West Virginia in ’02 ... Virginia in ’03 ... Kansas in ’04 ... Purdue and Texas A&M in ’07 ... Florida in '10 ... UCLA and Florida in '11)
9-12 seeds – 15 teams, out of 40 (Colorado and Duke in ’03 ... Florida and Texas A&M in ’04 ... UConn and Duke in ’05 ... Rutgers and Wake Forest in ’06 ... Georgia in ’07 .. Wake Forest in ‘08 ... Florida and UCF in '09 ... Pepperdine, Texas A&M and Auburn in '11 … Wake Forest in '12)
13-16 seeds – 16 teams, out of 40 (Boston College and Illinois in ’03 ... Arizona in ’04 ... BYU in ’05 ... Oklahoma State in ’06 ... Wake Forest in ’07 ... Colorado, Missouri and Oklahoma State in ‘08 ... Penn St. and LSU in '09 ... Texas A&M, UCF and Wake Forest in '10 ... Tennessee and Memphis in '11 … Maryland, Ohio State & Portland in '12)

Total (1-16 seeds) – 50 of 192 (26% ... since 2003, avg. of 5.0 teams seeded in top-16 have not reached round-of 16)

(the above list includes Wake Forest five times, Texas A&M and Florida four times, and seven teams twice: Notre Dame, Virginia, Penn State, Colorado, Duke, Oklahoma State, UCF and Portland)


Top-8 seeds that have failed to reach NCAA round-of-8/quarterfinals  (since 2001)

1-4 seeds – 12 teams, out of 48 (Pepperdine in ’02 ... Notre Dame in ’03, ... Penn State and Virginia in ’04 ... Texas and Santa Clara in ’06 ... UNC, Stanford and Penn State in '07 ... Portland, Maryland and UNC in '10)

5-8 seeds – 19 teams, out of 48 (Notre Dame, Stanford and UConn in ’01 ... West Virginia and UCLA in ’02 ... West Virginia, Virginia and Portland in ’03 ... UNC and Kansas in ’04 ... Purdue and Texas A&M in ’07 ... Florida and Virginia in '08 ... South Carolina in '09 .... Florida and Virginia in '10 ... UCLA and Florida in '11 … San Diego State, Virginia and Wake Forest in '12)

Total (1-8 seeds) – 34 out of 96 (35% ... avg. of 2.8 teams seeded in top-8 have not reached quarterfinals since 2001)

(the above list includes Virginia five times, UNC and Florida three times, and five teams twice: ND, WVU, Stanford, Portland and UCLA)


ANNUAL CHART for MATCHING SEED
(top-16 reach round-of-16 ... top-8 reach quarters ... top-4 reach semifinals)

Year – Round of 16 ... Quarterfinals (8) ... Semifinals (4)

2012 – 12 ... 5 ... 3 (Stanford, Penn State, Florida State)

2011 –  9 ... 6 ... 4 (Stanford, Duke, Wake Forest, Florida State)

2010 – 10 ... 3 ... 1  (Stanford)

2009 – 12 ... 7 ... 3  (Stanford, UNC, UCLA)

2008 – 12 ... 6 ... 4  (UNC, ND, Stanford, UCLA)

2007 – 12 ... 3 ... 1  (UCLA)

2006 – 12 ... 6 ... 2  (Notre Dame, UNC)

2005 – 13 ... 8 ... 3  (Portland, Penn State, UCLA)

2004 – 10 ... 4 ... 1  (Notre Dame)

2003 – 10 ... 4 ... 2  (UNC, UCLA)

2002 – 7 (of 8) ... 5 ... 1  (UNC)

2001 – 7 (of 8) ... 5 ... 3  (UNC, Santa Clara, Portland)

Avg. (2012 TBA) – 11.1 in round-of-16 ('03-'11) ... 5.2 in quarters (‘01–’11) ... 2.3 in semifinals ('01–’11) 

Note – Only 9-of-16 seeds reached 2011 round-of-16 (fewest since tourney went to 16 seeds in '03)


Seeds of College Cup Final-Weekend Participants (semifinalists; from 2001-2012)

Seeds 1-4 ... 28 (includes recent system of four #1s) ... outside top-4 seeds: 20

Seeds 5-8 ... 11

Seeds 9-12 ... 3

Seeds 13-16 ... 4

* Others ... 2 (Penn St. '02/ UConn in '03)

Notes: Penn State reached the semifinals in 2002 but was not seeded (there were only eight seeds in ’02) … in 2003, unseeded UConn made it all the way to the NCAA title game but did not face a top-16 seed until beating 11th seed Florida State in the semifinals (three seeded teams – #15 Boston College, #2 Notre Dame and #7 Virginia, plus Villanova, which beat UVa – all were upset in the round before they would have faced UConn)


GETTING OVER THE HUMP
 – The 2012 NCAA Tournament could provide some historic moments for certain programs that have made numerous NCAA appearances but failed to progress to the final rounds:

Most NCAA Trips Without Reaching Quarterfinal Round (final-8)
12 – San Diego (12th trip in 2011)

Notes: Every other team with 10-plus NCAA trips has made at least one final-8 game ... Wake Forest had been eliminated prior to the NCAA quarterfinals in all 13 of its NCAA appearances (1996-2008) before finally ending that frustrating streak in dramatic fashion, winning in the final second of its 2009 NCAAA round-of-16 game at South Carolina (1-0; Nov. 20, 2009).


Most NCAA Trips With Only One Quarterfinal Appearance

12 – SMU
12 – USC 
10 – Dartmouth

Note: Wake Forest made quarterfinals for second time in 16th appearance (2011)  BYU made second quarterfinal in 2012 (14th appearance)


Most NCAA Trips Without Reaching College Cup Semifinals (final-4)
24 – William & Mary
18 – Texas A&M  
14 – Clemson
14 – BYU
11 – Harvard
10 – Dartmouth and Nebraska

Note: Boston College in 2010 reached the semifinals for the first time (14th NCAA appearance), while Wake Forest is making its first NCAA semifinalist appearance in 2011 (16th appearance) 

Most NCAA Trips With Only One Semifinal Appearance (final-4)
25 – Virginia  (1991)    
14 – Hartford  (1992)
12 – SMU  (1995)
12 – USC  (2007)  
Note: Stanford made its second semifinal trip in 2008 (in 18th NCAA appearance), Duke in 2011 (18th NCAA trip)


Most NCAA Trips Without Reaching Title Game
25 – Virginia 
24 – William & Mary
20 – California
18 – Texas A&M
17 – Penn State (18th appearance in 2012)    
17 – Wake Forest 
14 – Clemson and Hartford
Note: Stanford made its first NCAA final in 2009 (in 19th NCAA appearance)


Most NCAA Trips With Only One Title-Game Appearance
18 – Central Florida  (1982 ... 0-2 vs. UNC)  
15 – UMass  (1987 ... 0-1 vs. UNC)
17 – Wisconsin  (1991 ... 1-3 vs. UNC)
16 – Florida  (1998 ... 1-0 vs. UNC)
Note: Duke made its second NCAA final in 2011 (in 18th NCAA appearance)


Most NCAA Trips Without Winning the Title
28 – Connecticut
25 – Virginia 
24 – William & Mary
20 – California
19 – Duke 
18 – Texas A&M  
18 – UCLA 
18 – Central Florida
17 – Penn State (18th appearance in 2012)
17 – Wisconsin
17 – Wake Forest  
15 – UMass
14 – Clemson and Hartford
Note: Stanford won its first NCAA title in 2011 (in 21st NCAA appearance)


editor@collegesoccer360.com